Posted 1 year ago on Nov. 7, 2012, 9:41 a.m. EST by arturo
from Shanghai, Shanghai
This content is user submitted and not an official statement
The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) in Tel Aviv, Israel conducted a war game recently, premised on a unilateral Israeli attack against Iranian nuclear sites within days after the U.S. Presidential elections. While the scenario itself led to a sequence of limited escalations by Iran and some allies against Israel, and ultimately, against U.S. and Persian Gulf targets, the outcome was a limited regional conflict. However, in the conclusions that followed the war game, the INSS reported that some of the players concluded that the Israeli attack would "lead to World War III," particularly because Russia and China took positions in stark contrast with both Israel and the United States.
The publication and wide dissemination of the INSS war game report and the warning of World War III, coming just days after Lyndon LaRouche's National Press Club event last Friday, Nov. 2, warning in stark terms about the danger of thermonuclear war, is of particular relevance.
According to a senior U.S. intelligence source deeply involved in war-avoidance efforts, the INSS publication of the war game findings was part of a renewed effort on the part of Israeli military and intelligence circles to push back against the growing threat that Netanyahu will again push for a unilateral Israeli attack. The source also cited the recent Ha'aretz revelations, to be further documented tonight on a British independent Channel Four TV documentary, that in 2010, Netanyahu actually ordered an Israeli preventive air attack on Iran, but was blocked by top Israeli Defense Forces and Mossad officials. According to the Ha'aretz account, Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi, then the Chief of Staff of the IDF, challenged the prime minister's authority to launch an attack without the approval of either his security cabinet or the relevant committees of the Knesset. Netanyahu was forced to back down, and soon afterwards, former Mossad chief Meir Dagan came out with a sharp warning against any Israeli unilateral attack on Iran.
The source went on to warn that, while an attack in the immediate days ahead is not a certainty, if Netanyahu is reelected in the January 2013 Israeli elections, he will move immediately to define a new "Red Line" for an Israeli attack, virtually guaranteeing an Israeli military strike early in 2013. Netanyahu is betting that the P5+1 will not reach a negotiated settlement with Iran before that time, and that Israel will be in a better position to pressure the United States—no matter who wins the upcoming elections—to join Israel in attacking Iran.
Between the Ha'aretz revelations and the release of the INSS warnings of World War III, the source noted, the anti-war elements in the Israeli military and intelligence establishment have activated "overnight."