Posted 10 years ago on Sept. 8, 2012, 11:39 a.m. EST by bensdad
This content is user submitted and not an official statement
Although only one general national election poll ( except R tilted fox & rasmussen ) put Romney ahead of Obama since mid-July, the key is only in the 9 swing states.
Obama has a close to solid core of 24 states with 237 of the 270 electoral votes needed.
He will win if he can add 33ECV from these 9 swing states
FL(29) or OH(18) or NC(15) or VA(13) or WI(10) or CO(9) or NV(6) or IA(6) or NH(4)
As of 9/6 most of these are slightly in ( D )
RCP predicts the house will stay R
but the senate is 46-46 with 8 toss ups
A New York Times analysis just released calculated that if everyone who is registered to vote actually votes, President Obama has an astronomical 91% chance of winning re-election. 91%!
How? With the same huge turnout of voters we saw in 2008.
but this does not factor the Rs crooked, desperate voter suppression.