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Forum Post: 9/9/2012 ECV: Based on Real Clear Politics & NYT538

Posted 11 years ago on Sept. 9, 2012, 9:20 a.m. EST by bensdad (8977)
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9/9/2012 ECV: Based on Real Clear Politics & NYT538 Although only one general national election poll ( except R tilted fox & rasmussen ) put Romney ahead of Obama since mid-July, the key is only in the 9 swing states.

Obama has a close to solid core of 24 states with 237 of the 270 electoral votes needed. He will win if he can add 33 ECV
from these 9 swing states FL(24) or OH(18) or NC(15) or VA(13) or WI(10) or CO(9) or NV(6) or IA(6) or NH(4)

These are the states with the current cumulate margin of less than 5% As of most of these are slightly in ( D )


Ohio (18) Obama +0.7 Virginia (13) Obama +0.6 Florida (29) Obama +0.6 Wisconsin (10) Obama +1.4 Iowa (6) Obama +0.2 Colorado (9) Obama +2.3 Nevada (6) Obama +3.3 New Hampshire (4) Obama +3.5 North Carolina (15) Romney +2.0

If the election was held TODAY Obama would win 332 ECV

RCP predicts the house will stay R but the senate is 46 - 46 with 8 toss ups



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[-] 1 points by hchc (3297) from Tampa, FL 11 years ago

Obama is a lock. The bombs are still dropping and the banks are still robbing. Plus through in all the other corrupted shit that has happened. And the threat of youth protesting in the streets is much less with Obama.

No need for replacement.

Romney is the latest version of Dole/Kerry....a total dork that is paraded out there to keep the other half believing for another year.


[-] 1 points by hchc (3297) from Tampa, FL 11 years ago

Looks like the clown show is pretty close.

Thanks for nothing as usual.