Forum Post: Romney will lose in the biggest landslide defeat in American history
Posted 12 years ago on Oct. 26, 2012, 12:27 a.m. EST by lancealotlink
(147)
This content is user submitted and not an official statement
okay, okay, I know what you're thinking some crazy liberal lunatic is jumping off the deep end and boastfully making some wild claim that will never really happen.
But once my prediction comes true you will call me the great Maharishi , the guru of this movement.{Okay maybe not, just having a little fun here}.
This is going to get a bit long so just bear with me. If you remember I referred to this election as mirroring the 1936 election. If you recall FDR won this election in a landslide. In a landslide but that is not the real news about the 36 election.The real news about this election was that the polls got the election completely wrong as they are doing now. Back then there was a poling magazine known as the literary Digest poll, this poll had predicted correctly the past five presidential elections..
Compared to today, they used a very crude method of polling. They mailed out 10 million questionnaires and received 2.3 million responses. The responses were overwhelmingly anti-Roosevelt as compared to those that were pro-Roosevelt{Sound familiar,like the polls today are using most likely voters to show who's leading other than just registered voters whom they are discounting}. Prediction, Alf Landon, winner with 370 electorial votes. It seems that the more fervent anti-Roosevelts were the only ones who mailed in their questionnaire.It was a complete embarrassment and the poll soon closed never to be heard from again.
Oh but wait it gets much much worse from here. If you will go to Latino decisions.com and read"How the polls are missing the Latino vote". You'll find that pollsters are heavily underestimating the Latino vote. They are using a very small samples and are not using the Hispanic population as compared to the state. Gallup just calls voters daily and asks who you are voting for? The only problem with this method is they are only conducting these polls.in English. If you are Hispanic and English is your second language you are just going to hang up. And Hispanics are supporting Obama 3 to 1. According to this magazine. Now I'm not going to get into the rest of the my minutia of this article but I think you get the point.
This was proven to be the case in 2010 when the poll showed Sharron Angle beating Harry Reid by two is three points.. Then Reid surprisingly won the election by five points.. Right now a prominent Poll is showing Romney leading Obama49% to 46% among Hispanics in Florida.. Really?{the 7-Eleven cup polls seems to be more accurate when it shows Obama beating Romney 10 to 1 then gallop and the other scientific polls.}.
Well, it turns out that they have only polled 130 English-speaking Hispanics and when you add in the non-polled Latinos, even Drudge gives Obama a six-point shadow advantage. Now we already know that Romney will literally get 0% of the black vote and this was also given as another reason for Alf Landon's huge defeat in 36. I am also going to give you another little jewel that Gallup is totally discounting. The third-party vote.
In Ohio, polls show the campaign tied.
Romney 47%
Obama 47%
But when you had another choice to the polls shows.
Obama 47%
Romney 44%
Other choice 3%
So this is why I am predicting the worst and most humiliating defeat in Republican history. And I cannot help but think that when it shows most senatorial races tied. These factors are only going to bleed over into the house and senate races. Do you really think that all these voters are going to vote Republican in the down races? But, in the end, all these opinions and all my great predictions might just give me a free cup of coffee at Starbucks.
And special thanks to Mother Jones who stole my article that I stole from Drudge and put it up on Real Clear Politics. - Im honored.
one more victory lap!
If you are reading this for the first time, this is not an armchair quarterback article as to why Romney lost.
This was a Prediction I made on October 3, 2012 I made this prediction before any of the other pundits.Before.
2.Dickless Morris
I also predicted a victory in Florida and the loss of three Republican Senatorial seats OUCH!
History will look back upon this election and say it was a landslide defeat like I said and one of the biggest landslide defeats in Republican history.
but history will not remember that Romney was a very formidable candidate. At times it got close. So I would like to thank all of you all all of you l in the Occupy movement for doing your your part in slaying the Dragon.
Because in actuality this was not a prediction I made as so much of a prayer. And I prayed that such a dangerous inexperienced Bush neocon would never get his hands on the White House again ever. Amen Brotha
I think the Libertarian movement has a chance to takeover the republican party over the next 8 years or so.
Polls can and usually do tend to backfire. I wouldn't put faith in any but the one they put out with actual results. Election night the only poll to watch.
Agreed but I still like the idea that I am making a bold prediction that know one else is really seeing . If I am wrong I am wrong but If I am right then I am a genus.He He.
It is bold for sure. It's not like you made a bet with the mob on it (did you?) so yea shoot for the stars lol.
No I didnt and I suggest you dont either but if you look at the huff post polls you will still see Obama holding on to a 50 electorial point lead. Not bad for just throwing something up against the wall to see if it sticks.
They're a very confident bunch over at Huff Post.
Well i suppose .I do like to read there columns though. I think there pretty good.
I read articles there a lot but don't post. They're just too damned witty for me and it gets on my nerves.
Thata a bold statement.
I do talk to people in colorado and ohio and they are seeing Romney signs everywhere. And they are not so agreeable with my prediction.I still think that Obama can win Florida thanks to the hispanc population. Even if he doesnt win Ohio though.What do you think will happen?
I think Obama will not be re-elected, no idea of %. I think his record will bite him in the ass.
Yes I am hearing that alot I think its pretty unfair being the R congress keeps holding him back.
I never feel sorry for politicians, they always bring it on themselves.
Yup. Romney never stood a chance. Republicans will be humiliated, but they deserve it.
Nothing will be more embarrasing than people thinking that either of these parties have the slightest desire to help them. It will be another year of almost exclusively D and R, the same ones that have caused all the problems the last 40 years.
There is no ambition from the American people to change things, so why would we expect Congress to?
your from florida , is it looking like O can win there?
You have to remember that one third of Fl. Latinos are of Cuban origin. Cubans have historically been hard line Republican (though younger Cubans are less so}. The latest Real Clear Politics poll average gives Romney a 2.1 advantage.
if the polls a 2.1 average that wont be enough to cover a shadow poll of 6 that I talked about ,but let just say I might be wrong . Lets give him an advantage of 3. He sill wins.
I guess time will tell.
No matter who wins, I think the winner better be ready for a fight. People are fed up.
agreed
Obama is now tied with Romney in Florida . Im very confident if polls show a tie in florida .Obama wins even if we lose Ohio.Watch this underlying hispanic vote come through.
I tell the pollsters sure, I'm going to vote for Obama. Everybody does where I live. We'll vote for Obama if we show up. I can't say if people will actually show up.
please show up.
Oh, OK.
Whatever you say.