Forum Post: Richard Feynmans words ring true! (read the last sentence first)
Posted 13 years ago on Nov. 16, 2011, 8:33 a.m. EST by tictac
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This is the conclusion clause in Feynmans report on NASA:s Challenger muck up. This describes the symptoms of US society. Upon replacing the right words this rings true even today:
Conclusions If a reasonable launch schedule is to be maintained, engineering often cannot be done fast enough to keep up with the expectations of originally conservative certification criteria designed to guarantee a very safe vehicle. In these situations, subtly, and often with apparently logical arguments, the criteria are altered so that flights may still be certified in time. They therefore fly in a relatively unsafe condition, with a chance of failure of the order of a percent (it is difficult to be more accurate).
Official management, on the other hand, claims to believe the probability of failure is a thousand times less. One reason for this may be an attempt to assure the government of NASA perfection and success in order to ensure the supply of funds. The other may be that they sincerely believed it to be true, demonstrating an almost incredible lack of communication between themselves and their working engineers.
In any event this has had very unfortunate consequences, the most serious of which is to encourage ordinary citizens to fly in such a dangerous machine, as if it had attained the safety of an ordinary airliner. The astronauts, like test pilots, should know their risks, and we honor them for their courage. Who can doubt that McAuliffe was equally a person of great courage, who was closer to an awareness of the true risk than NASA management would have us believe?
Let us make recommendations to ensure that NASA officials deal in a world of reality in understanding technological weaknesses and imperfections well enough to be actively trying to eliminate them. They must live in reality in comparing the costs and utility of the Shuttle to other methods of entering space. And they must be realistic in making contracts, in estimating costs, and the difficulty of the projects. Only realistic flight schedules should be proposed, schedules that have a reasonable chance of being met. If in this way the government would not support them, then so be it. NASA owes it to the citizens from whom it asks support to be frank, honest, and informative, so that these citizens can make the wisest decisions for the use of their limited resources.
For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled.
For a successful economy, the real economy must take precedence over the speculative economy, for reality is a bitch.
If you discussed this post with people who recently lost their jobs due to the dire economic conditions what sort of response do you think you would get? Yesterday I read an article about NASA's new toy robot which will eventually be placed on Mars...that toy cost 2.5 billion. I keep wondering how spending that money is going to help people get back to work.
The point is not NASAs work, the point is that in a hierarchical system with a "positive go getter" attitude the top brass do not deal with reality. Take the last sentence and say it about the environmental crisis or the "cutting taxes creates jobs"-mantra and it applies equally well.
Actually, that robot was built here by American engs. so it did create quite a bit of work.