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Forum Post: 10:26: 538.com: Obama 294; Romney 244; probability Obama wins 73%

Posted 12 years ago on Oct. 26, 2012, 8:20 a.m. EST by bensdad (8977)
This content is user submitted and not an official statement

RCP: Ohio (18) 47.9 45.8 Obama +2.1 Toss Up
_If voting machine fraud is not a factor this is Obama intrade: Obama wins Ohio 63%

Florida (29) 47.0 48.7 Romney +1.7 Toss Up
With all of the voter suppression -> Willard
Virginia (13) 46.8 48.3 Romney +1 .5 Toss Up
Tossup
New Hamp (4) 48.2 47.4 Obama +0.8 Toss Up
Tossup
Wisconsin (10) 49.5 46.8 Obama +2.7 Toss Up
Obama
Michigan (16) 48.8 44.8 Obama +4.0 Toss Up
Obama
Pennsy (20) 50.0 45.2 Obama +4.8 Toss Up
Obama
North Car (15) 45.0 50.0 Romney +5.0 Toss Up
Just slipped into tossup from R but will -> Willard
Iowa (6) 48.8 46.8 Obama +2.0 Toss Up
Obama
Colorado (9) 47.8 48.2 Romney +0.4 Toss Up
Tossup
Nevada (6) 49.6 46.8 Obama +2.8 Toss Up
Obama

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