Posted 5 years ago on Nov. 10, 2015, 8:42 a.m. EST by factsrfun
from Phoenix, AZ
This content is user submitted and not an official statement
History of the Mock Presidential Election: This simulation always takes place the year before the presidential election year, and three months before the actual Iowa caucuses. The genesis of this mock presidential election began at the University of Iowa in 1975 with two political science doctoral students, John Hemingway and Rick Hardy. In that year, students selected Jimmy Carter over Gerald Ford—long before anyone really knew of Jimmy Carter. In the years that followed, Rick Hardy expanded the format and engaged thousands of students at the University of Missouri-Columbia where students registered a perfect record of selecting the subsequent winning presidential party. In 2007 and 2011, Hardy and Hemingway teamed up again to conduct a massive campus-wide simulation at Western Illinois University. In 2007, Western students selected Barack Obama as president at a time when no one thought he could win! And, in 2011, students narrowly re-elected President Obama over the GOP ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan!
They just concluded their 2016 Mock Election and, wouldn’t you know it —
Bernie Sanders won in a landslide.
They had him winning the primary against Hillary Clinton by an almost 2 to 1 margin, and he wiped the floor with the Republican nominee, establishment Jeb! Can Fix It Bush, in the general. They predict Bernie to win next November by an almost 4 to 1 margin.
It seems impossible. They have him taking states you’d think fantastical now and winning by an implausibly large margin.
But it looks to me that the ridiculousness of his success is another indicator of a larger trend.
Bernie’s awakening a fire. His message is rippling throughout the country. Maybe the states are wrong, and the margin’s wrong, but that doesn’t mean the outcome is. He doesn’t have to get four times as many electoral votes as the G.O.P. nominee to win.